Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 2.008098 2.287315 2.590700 2.944763 3.346591 3.788441 4.311171
2025-10-12 1.568931 1.948436 2.396656 2.964837 3.665835 4.502454 5.577145
2025-10-19 1.363116 1.796684 2.338988 3.066628 4.017289 5.217320 6.848138
2025-10-26 1.174239 1.625686 2.217701 3.050122 4.190170 5.697131 7.841992
2025-11-02 1.033283 1.493070 2.121344 3.041457 4.354256 6.160322 8.836051
2025-11-09 0.905690 1.360080 2.004384 2.983147 4.431910 6.497780 9.670438
2025-11-16 0.826474 1.285513 1.958744 3.016146 4.634590 7.018934 10.802377
2025-11-23 0.760712 1.222448 1.921160 3.053052 4.840061 7.553414 11.991119
2025-11-30 0.692997 1.148308 1.857855 3.041182 4.964555 7.968804 13.023566
2025-12-07 0.625516 1.067058 1.774583 2.987451 5.013872 8.264936 13.883541
2025-12-14 0.564493 0.989983 1.690098 2.922089 5.035050 8.512242 14.676544
2025-12-21 0.514955 0.927275 1.623087 2.878446 5.085855 8.807479 15.566877
2025-12-28 0.505538 0.937123 1.685950 3.074484 5.583793 9.928191 18.031001
2026-01-04 0.467488 0.892543 1.651146 3.097509 5.784941 10.564683 19.722737
2026-01-11 0.445834 0.875330 1.662604 3.203694 6.143338 11.506350 22.046642
2026-01-18 0.409818 0.826786 1.611191 3.186464 6.268911 12.032947 23.644289
2026-01-25 0.378757 0.784411 1.566858 3.177417 6.407222 12.591908 25.349713
2026-02-01 0.345045 0.733045 1.499863 3.116529 6.436818 12.942996 26.676554
2026-02-08 0.325006 0.707568 1.481472 3.150987 6.659033 13.686470 28.850801
2026-02-15 0.307139 0.684730 1.466049 3.189524 6.892004 14.469125 31.172190
2026-02-22 0.286055 0.652717 1.428398 3.177129 7.016050 15.038151 33.094556
2026-03-01 0.263088 0.614144 1.373094 3.121023 7.040360 15.399564 34.602314
2026-03-08 0.241281 0.575933 1.314923 3.052773 7.031021 15.686845 35.970751